It’s the final quarter of the regular season which means that, in addition to teams making a push for playoff berths, we also have cleared all bye weeks. For the next four weeks, every team will be in action, and that gives us a wider range from which to choose.
So far, this hasn’t had much of an impact on our success rate. We have not seen stark differences in either direction when facing a full schedule of games or a truncated one. It is simple worth mentioning that, with 16 games available for each of the next four weeks, we have 64 more opportunities to find value.
Let’s dive right in.
Below are predictions for each game against the spread. Spreads have been taken from various websites and are subject to change. The spread in parenthesis denotes the selected team. Spread is listed as advertised number and odds at either DraftKings Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook, Caesars Sportsbook, or Fanatics Sportsbook (formerly PointsBet). All efforts were made to provide picks at -110 or better, with some stretching to a -125 if no reasonable advertised spread was found.
*Confidence Picks – 2025 Season: 48-37-1 (Last Week: 4-2)
(2024 Season: 65-57) (2023 Season: 63-61-4) (2022 Season: 54-54-5) (2021 Season: 55-50) (2020 Season: 53-42-3) (2019 Season: 57-43-3) (2018 Season: 63-48-4) (2017 Season: 53-48-4) (2016 Season: 53-67-3) (2015 Season: 69-45-2) (2014 Season: 61-46-2) (11-Year Total: 646-561-30)
All Picks Against Spread – 2025 Season: 112-95-1 (Last Week: 8-6)
(2024 Season: 148-136-1) (2023 Season: 142-135-8) (2022 Season: 143-132-9) (2021 Season: 158-126-2) (2020 Season: 132-128-7) (2019 Season: 142-118-7) (2018 Season: 137-118-12) (2017 Season: 137-119-11) (2016 Season: 123-136-8) (2015 Season: 143-117-7) (2014 Season: 149-114-4) (11-Year Total: 1554-1379-76)
Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
There was no way that we would see a fair spread for the first game of the week, but I appreciate how bold it was. It could change, but the game between the Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers opened with a spread just smaller than six points.
Why is that relevant? Six points isn’t only a touchdown. It’s also a number that can be reached with an overtime win. Therefore, if we picked the