We get it…

You have responsibilities. A relationship. A job. You want to be more involved in the world of sports, but the time isn’t always there. So you play fantasy sports. Maybe build a daily lineup. Even pick some games or join an office pool. But without putting in the time to research, you are left guessing.

Our responsibility is to you. Our relationship is with the sport. Our job is to do the legwork so you don’t have to.

Sporfolio is your ‘sports portfolio.’ We predict. They play. You profit.

NFL Picks: Week 3 Against the Spread

After back-to-back winning weeks to start the season, Mario Mergola breaks down every game of Week 3’s full slate of NFL action, giving an against-the-spread pick for each matchup and six confidence picks.

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Gain Access to Top NFL picks in 2017

Football is back! And so are our industry-leading picks against-the-spread. Join an exclusive community today centered around building your sports portfolio through daily fantasy sports and NFL picks.

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Diamond Dividends

Sporfolio’s Mario Mergola just released his first book: Diamond Dividends: Creative Strategies to Profit Through Fantasy Baseball. Grab a copy today in either paperback or eBook and win your fantasy league!

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Working Fantasy Baseball Spreadsheets and Picks

The fantasy baseball season has arrived, and whether you’re gauging the value of a pickup, finding DFS targets, or actually picking games, we have a few spreadsheets to get you started. The most powerful one is included in all Sporfolio memberships, and is typically delivering an accuracy rating of over/under picks better than 58% since its final tweak on June 30th.

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DFS Hockey

Sporfolio has expanded to include daily fantasy content for the 2016-2017 NHL season. Tom Fitzgerald of XN Sports will lead the charge with his DFS insight.

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AS SEEN ON:

Football is Back!

After months of providing NHL DFS picks and MLB spreadsheets, we go back to our origins with our best-in-class football analysis. From a 53.67% success rate in our confidence picks against-the-spread over the last three seasons combined to back-to-back “championships” for most correct against-the-spread picks among experts tracked by NFLPickwatch, we have a unique outlook on the sport of football that is unparalleled throughout the industry.

 

Fantasy Baseball and MLB Picks

The founder of Sporfolio and author of Diamond Dividends: Creative Strategies to Profit Through Fantasy Baseball has uploaded his top 500 fantasy baseball player projections, a table – editable by you – of per-plate-appearance and per-inning-pitched calculations, and his overall rankings for the 2017 MLB season. His 2016 rankings were included in FantasyPros’ expert accuracy challenge, where some of his best predictions were highlighted. The rankings and projections go hand-in-hand with his aforementioned book, and are available for free by using the links above.

In addition, now that the season is underway, we are now offering daily fantasy baseball plays for free – no membership needed – and MLB over/under picks to our subscribers.

Finally, our pitcher projection spreadsheet has been consistently producing winning MLB picks via over/under plays. Since our final tweak on June 30th, the picks – with odds generally between +105 and -125 – have produced at a winning percentage of at least 54%, and are currently in the range of 56%!

DFS Hockey

Sporfolio has increased our offering to include DFS Hockey at no additional charge to all existing packages for the upcoming 2016-2017 regular season. All of our subscribers – new or existing – will now have access to our DFS plays from Monday-Friday during the season.

We are thrilled to announce that Tom Fitzgerald of XN Sports will be our lead NHL DFS writer. Tom has spent the past four years as the lead editor for XN Sports and is excited to contribute his hockey DFS strategies and plays to our readers, while helping Sporfolio expand our content beyond football.

Recent Posts

DFS Plays: NFL 2017 DFS Week 3 Picks

As stated in last week’s column, the relatively ‘average’ salary structure from Opening Day appears to be a thing of the past, as most prices are starting to move rapidly on only two – in some cases, one – games’ worth of information. These quick dips – especially for the superstars – are perfect buying opportunities, and it leads us, again, to a week in which the ‘stars-and-scrubs’ approach will largely be utilized. Based on our...
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DFS Plays: NFL 2017 Week 3 Game-by-Game DFS Analysis

With Thursday Night Football already behind us – and an entertaining one, at that – and an early Sunday morning game in London, we have 14 games ahead of us for a busy Sunday – and Monday Night. As usual, with such a large slate, it is relatively easy to find matchups that set up perfectly for an expected game flow in one-direction-or-another. It is no surprise, therefore, that we have another in depth column that is almost as long as last week’s epic – which...
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NFL Picks: 2017 Week 3 Picks Against the Spread

It should have ended in Week 2. It didn’t. Let’s be thankful. There is nothing more important in determining picks against-the-spread than perception, and overreactions are the typical driving force. Normally, they fizzle out after a second game. Not this year. Not yet. So much momentum was gained in 2016 by teams that didn’t deserve it, and it has captured an entirely new crop of football fans and analysts who believed last year was the norm. We know better. 2016 was an...
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MLB DFS Plays 9/18/17

Not many stories coming out of the league last night. The Astros clinched as we suspected they would this entire season.  Kluber locked up the Cy Young yesterday.  I thought Sale had it locked up the way he was playing but of late he hasn’t been great and Kluber has been incredible.  Kluber did miss part of the season with an injury but the voters will look past that and give it to him. We have a very small slate of games so I will hit everyone. Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles- This...
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DFS Plays: NFL 2017 DFS Week 2 Picks

Last week, we needed to dive deep to put together a list of trustworthy wide receivers. This time, we had to cut players. What changed? The salaries of some of the running backs we are targeting are so incredibly cheap that nearly anything is possible with our rosters. For that reason, a ‘stars-and-scrubs’ approach to Week 2 is arguably the only way to proceed. Thankfully, there are a few stars that are poised to explode. Based on our expected Week 2 DFS game flow analysis...
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NFL Picks Success Rate

AGAINST THE SPREAD – 2014-2016

%

Best Confidence Picks (2015)

%

Best Overall Picks (2014)

%

3-Year Confidence Picks

star 52.4% = AVERAGE BREAKEVEN PERCENTAGE REQUIRED star

Standings of Experts’ Picks

AGAINST THE SPREAD – COURTESY OF NFLPickwatch

2015 Correct Picks ATS

  • 1. Mario Mergola (now Sporfolio) – 141
  • 1. Jason La Canfora – 141
  • 3. Pickwatch – Best Defense – 139
  • 3. Josh Katzowitz – 139
  • Average Expert (Min. 250 Picks) – 127

2014 Correct Picks ATS

  • 1. Mario Mergola (now Sporfolio) – 145
  • 1. Tim Cowlishaw – 145
  • 3. Jason La Canfora – 141
  • 4. Neil Greenberg – 138
  • Average Expert (Min. 250 Picks) – 130

Success Stories from Our Picks

How Would 2015 Have Treated You?

Set how much you would have risked on a standard game and see what our confidence picks would have netted for you in 2015 using our recommended scaling (even after fees from standard -110 odds)!

Total$

See For Yourself - NFL Opening Night Pick Against the Spread

We kicked off the 2016 NFL season with a confidence pick beating the spread. We don’t normally separate picks from their main articles, but Opening Night between the Carolina Panther and Denver Broncos was special. See what our members knew days ago.

See For Yourself - NFL Week 3 Game-by-Game DFS Analysis

Our Week 3 DFS game-by-game analysis column was a hit on many levels. It is now open to all to read as an example of what we provide to our members on a weekly basis during the NFL season.

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2017 NFC Full Season Predictions

Sporfolio’s full season predictions for the National Football Conference in 2017 include a breakdown of every NFC team, a projected record, the expected conference champion, and four over/under win total picks.

Week 3 NFL Picks Against the Spread

We have now logged back-to-back 9-win weeks to start the year, and we move right into another full, 16-game slate. Each matchup gets a breakdown and prediction, and we have six confidence picks for Week 3.

2017 AFC Full Season Predictions

Sporfolio’s full season predictions for the American Football Conference in 2017 include a breakdown of every AFC team, a projected record, the expected Super Bowl Champion, and four over/under win total picks.

DFS Game Flow

The overall picture of picking games against the spread in a given week would be incomplete without the individual pieces – the players. The rise of daily fantasy sports has provided an avenue for taking predictions about a given set of games even further, where both the teams and players can be assembled into a portfolio.

Despite efforts to separate the two, they actually go hand-in- hand, where the players impact the flow of the game that will ultimately complete the picture. Our team specializes in offering these DFS picks driven completely by ‘game flow,’ where scenarios of success are crafted on the foundation of our industry-leading picks ATS.

Week 4 2015 NFL Picks Against the Spread Column

“Drew Brees…gives the Saints the obvious edge…”

“It is likely already too late for the Saints…but a home game in primetime against an injured Cowboys’ team might be the Saints’ last hope. Keep in mind that the Saints were 2-4 and hosting the seemingly unstoppable Packers in a Sunday Night Football contest, last season. New Orleans won by three touchdowns.

Week 4 2015 Results

New Orleans Saints 26, Dallas Cowboys 20

Drew Brees: 33-for-41, 359 passing yards, 2 passing touchdowns, 25.4 DraftKings points, 22.4 FanDuel points

Week 8 2015 NFL Picks Against the Spread Column

Denver’s defense — allowing the fewest yards and second-fewest points per game in the league — will provide the toughest test that Aaron Rodgers and the Packers have seen to date, and the perceived large gap between the two teams will be closed. Denver, like Green Bay, is perfect in regular season home games since the beginning of 2014.

The Broncos hand the Packers their first loss of the season…

Week 8 2015 Results

Denver Broncos 29, Green Bay Packers 10

Aaron Rodgers: 14-for-22, 77 passing yards, 0 passing touchdowns

Denver Defense: 10 points allowed, 3 sacks, 1 safety

Conference Championship DFS Game-by-Game Analysis

Sporfolio’s Conference Championship NFL DFS column includes game-by-game analysis for DFS plays based on expected game flow. These projections are driven by our industry-leading picks against the spread.

DFS Plays: Conference Championship DFS Picks

Based on Sporfolio’s game-by-game analysis, we condense our list of targets for the Conference Championship games and provide our best DFS plays of the week.

Sporfolio Origins

Created by Mario Mergola – one of the industry leaders in NFL picks against the spread – Sporfolio aims to continue the trend of creative analysis Mergola championed over the past years while writing for XN Sports. During this time, Mergola ranked first among experts’ NFL picks against the spread in back-to-back seasons, as tracked by NFLPickwatch.com. His last two seasons’ of NFL picks against the spread can be found in the archives, while much of his work can still be read on XN Sports.

Mario Mergola is also the author of Diamond Dividends: Creative Strategies to Profit Through Fantasy Baseball, and his fantasy baseball rankings are also included in FantasyPros’ expert analysis challenge.

Sporfolio is NOT a gambling website. The information provided here is for entertainment purposes only. Any use of this information in violation of State, Federal, or Local Laws is strictly prohibited. Please see our terms and conditions below for more information.