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NFL Picks: Week 3 Picks Against the Spread

After back-to-back 9-7 weeks against the spread – 8-6 in confidence picks – we dive into Week 3 with seven confidence picks, largely based on teams’ disconnects with their records.

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Sporfolio’s record against the spread is already 18-14 on the season, and we are, again, near the top of the expert rankings. Join now for Week 3’s picks.

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About Sporfolio

Watching a game and taking it a face value is no longer enough. We now see opportunities for growth everywhere, whether it is viewing a sport from a different angle, investing in the performance of the athletes, or simply enjoying something to track while watching a game. Sports are now year-long investments, where sound advice is needed to create a positive portfolio.

Sporfolio is your ‘sports portfolio.’ We predict. They play. You profit.

Success Rate

AGAINST THE SPREAD – LAST TWO NFL SEASONS

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2015 Confidence Picks

%

2015 Overall Picks

%

2014 Confidence Picks

%

2014 Overall Picks

star 52.4% = AVERAGE BREAKEVEN PERCENTAGE REQUIRED star

Standings of Experts’ Picks

AGAINST THE SPREAD – COURTESY OF NFLPickwatch

2015 Correct Picks ATS

  • 1. Mario Mergola (now Sporfolio) – 141
  • 1. Jason La Canfora – 141
  • 3. Pickwatch – Best Defense – 139
  • 3. Josh Katzowitz – 139
  • Average Expert (Min. 250 Picks) – 127

2014 Correct Picks ATS

  • 1. Mario Mergola (now Sporfolio) – 145
  • 1. Tim Cowlishaw – 145
  • 3. Jason La Canfora – 141
  • 4. Neil Greenberg – 138
  • Average Expert (Min. 250 Picks) – 130

Success Stories from Our Picks

How Would 2015 Have Treated You?

Set how much you would have risked on a standard game and see what our confidence picks would have netted for you in 2015 using our recommended scaling (even after fees from standard -110 odds)!

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See For Yourself - NFL Opening Night Pick Against the Spread

We kicked off the 2016 NFL season with a confidence pick beating the spread. We don’t normally separate picks from their main articles, but Opening Night between the Carolina Panther and Denver Broncos was special. See what our members knew days ago.

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2016 NFC Full Season Predictions

Sporfolio’s full season predictions for the National Football Conference in 2016 include a breakdown of every NFC team, a projected record, and names the expected conference champion.

Week 3 Picks Against the Spread

18-14 against the spread on the young season – and 8-6 in confidence picks – we target teams that appear to be misaligned with their respective records after only two games.

2016 AFC Full Season Predictions

Sporfolio’s full season predictions for the American Football Conference in 2016 include a breakdown of every AFC team, a projected record, and names the expected Super Bowl champion.

DFS Game Flow

The overall picture of picking games against the spread in a given week would be incomplete without the individual pieces – the players. The rise of daily fantasy sports has provided an avenue for taking predictions about a given set of games even further, where both the teams and players can be assembled into a portfolio.

Despite efforts to separate the two, they actually go hand-in- hand, where the players impact the flow of the game that will ultimately complete the picture. Our team specializes in offering these DFS picks driven completely by ‘game flow,’ where scenarios of success are crafted on the foundation of our industry-leading picks ATS.

Week 4 2015 NFL Picks Against the Spread Column

“Drew Brees…gives the Saints the obvious edge…”

“It is likely already too late for the Saints…but a home game in primetime against an injured Cowboys’ team might be the Saints’ last hope. Keep in mind that the Saints were 2-4 and hosting the seemingly unstoppable Packers in a Sunday Night Football contest, last season. New Orleans won by three touchdowns.

Week 4 2015 Results

New Orleans Saints 26, Dallas Cowboys 20

Drew Brees: 33-for-41, 359 passing yards, 2 passing touchdowns, 25.4 DraftKings points, 22.4 FanDuel points

Week 8 2015 NFL Picks Against the Spread Column

Denver’s defense — allowing the fewest yards and second-fewest points per game in the league — will provide the toughest test that Aaron Rodgers and the Packers have seen to date, and the perceived large gap between the two teams will be closed. Denver, like Green Bay, is perfect in regular season home games since the beginning of 2014.

The Broncos hand the Packers their first loss of the season…

Week 8 2015 Results

Denver Broncos 29, Green Bay Packers 10

Aaron Rodgers: 14-for-22, 77 passing yards, 0 passing touchdowns

Denver Defense: 10 points allowed, 3 sacks, 1 safety

Week 2 DFS Game-by-Game Analysis

Sporfolio’s Week 2 NFL DFS column includes game-by-game analysis for DFS plays based on expected game flow. These projections are driven by our industry-leading picks against the spread.

DFS Plays: Week 2 DFS Picks

Based on Sporfolio’s game-by-game analysis, we condense our list of targets for Week 2 and provide our best DFS plays of the week.

Sporfolio Origins

Created by Mario Mergola – one of the industry leaders in NFL picks against the spread – Sporfolio aims to continue the trend of creative analysis Mergola championed over the past two years while writing for XN Sports. During this time, Mergola ranked first among experts’ NFL picks against the spread in back-to- back seasons, as tracked by NFLPickwatch.com. His last two seasons’ of NFL picks against the spread can be found in the archives, while much of his work can still be read on XN Sports.

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