NFL Picks: 2025 NFC Full Season Predictions

One of the biggest reasons why I love this preseason prediction articles is because it forces me to think in the mindset of turnover. The National Football League is designed for widespread reversals within divisions, and we see it on an annual basis.

I lead with this because it’s too simple to find the teams that played well last year, didn’t lose talent or key coaches, and then slot them into the playoffs this time. Occasionally, I do it — because there’s just no way around certain expectations — but the reality is that we know some teams will fail and some will surprise.

And that’s a good thing.

Not because it makes the league fun — which it does. But because it forces us to think differently.

We can’t lean on last year too heavily. But we know others will. And, as always, that’s where we look to find an edge between now and the end of the regular season.

Below are the full season predictions for the 2025 National Football Conference, with top over/under win-total plays highlighted where applicable. Over/under win-totals were taken as advertised from DraftKings Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook, and Caesers Sportsbook. In the event that different win totals were shown across the Sportsbook by a half-game, the win total up to -160 was used. In the past, -140 was the limit, but Sportsbooks have since adjusted their numbers.

NFC East

New York Giants – 7-10 – 4th in NFC East

Often times, I will target a ‘sleeper’ and eventually see that I was too early with the team. It fails when I expect but then delivers the next season — and this is one of the reasons why I stick with my picks over a longer stretch of time. The problem with the New York Giants is that, while they certainly fit that mold, they are also starting to get too much hype despite a long list of unknowns. As of now, we cannot definitively say which quarterback will end up taking the bulk of the snaps for the majority of the season, nor can we determine if head coach Brian Daboll’s plans — which undoubtedly can only be for the immediate future — match with what the franchise has been rumored to consider — lose games so it can, once again, select a quarterback early in next year’s Draft. Those competing intentions don’t usually work well for a playoff run, but they can lead to a slightly better season than what we just saw — ultimately, placing the Giants in a worst-case scenario of winning too many games to land the quarterback they want in the Draft but not enough to deliver a playoff berth.

Dallas Cowboys – 8-9 – 3rd in NFC East

The amount of negativity — trading away Micah Parsons, a change at the head coach position, etc. — surrounding the Dallas Cowboys immediately makes me want to consider them for the potential that they are undervalued, but I see the same flaws as the rest of the football-watching world. That is, moving on from Micah Parsons is a concern and new head coach Brian Schottenheimer is worrisome — despite arguably being an upgrade over the prior regime. The simplest result is likely going to be that Dallas competes better than most expect but doesn’t do enough to return to the playoffs.

Philadelphia Eagles – 10-7 – 2nd in NFC East, Wild Card Berth

It should be no surprise that, after expecting the Philadelphia Eagles to regress last season — only for them to go on and win the Super Bowl– I am not targeting a repeat Championship run. That isn’t saying much, though. Obviously, we have to look for Philadelphia to drop from its incredible 14-3 record of last year, but I won’t go as far as knocking it out of the playoff picture. The Eagles have clearly developed a system that produces wins regularly, and they should have no problem returning to the postseason, even if another team in the division actually catches it and takes the crown.

Washington Commanders – 11-6 – NFC East Winner – OVER 9.5 Wins (-110 at DraftKings Sportsbook)

Under normal circumstances, I would be proud that I picked the ‘sleeper’ team correctly last year but then avoided them here in anticipation of a regression. That isn’t the case with the Washington Commanders. Naturally, some dip in production could be expected — mainly because of quarterback Jayden Daniels entering his second season in the league, where there is likely to be some adjustment made by opposing defenses that will slow him down — but that’s where he actually shines. He was thoroughly impressive at protecting the football, and he closed out the regular season — in games where he played in full — with a four-game winning streak in which he tossed 13 touchdowns and just four interceptions. Extending that into the playoffs, he threw five more touchdowns and had only one interception. I’m buying back into another impressive season for the Commanders.

NFC South