We are about to enter the final month or so of the regular season, and it has been quite good to us to this point.
Of course, the goal is to finish strong.
This is, however, the time of year when we see teams make their final pushes toward a playoff spot. Conversely, there are seven teams that do not have more than three wins on the year. Most of them are facing teams with winning records this week.
And that means we have a handful of large spreads.
As always, we know there will be value with the underdogs. We just have to figure out which ones are poised to deliver.
Below are predictions for each game against the spread. Spreads have been taken from various websites and are subject to change. The spread in parenthesis denotes the selected team. Spread is listed as advertised number and odds at either DraftKings Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook, Caesars Sportsbook, or Fanatics Sportsbook (formerly PointsBet). All efforts were made to provide picks at -110 or better, with some stretching to a -125 if no reasonable advertised spread was found.
*Confidence Picks – 2025 Season: 44-35-1 (Last Week: 3-3-1)
(2024 Season: 65-57) (2023 Season: 63-61-4) (2022 Season: 54-54-5) (2021 Season: 55-50) (2020 Season: 53-42-3) (2019 Season: 57-43-3) (2018 Season: 63-48-4) (2017 Season: 53-48-4) (2016 Season: 53-67-3) (2015 Season: 69-45-2) (2014 Season: 61-46-2) (11-Year Total: 646-561-30)
All Picks Against Spread – 2025 Season: 104-89-1 (Last Week: 9-6-1)
(2024 Season: 148-136-1) (2023 Season: 142-135-8) (2022 Season: 143-132-9) (2021 Season: 158-126-2) (2020 Season: 132-128-7) (2019 Season: 142-118-7) (2018 Season: 137-118-12) (2017 Season: 137-119-11) (2016 Season: 123-136-8) (2015 Season: 143-117-7) (2014 Season: 149-114-4) (11-Year Total: 1554-1379-76)
Dallas Cowboys at Detroit Lions
It’s obviously not an accident — and it has become a trend — that two teams that played on Thanksgiving in separate games will meet this Thursday to begin the week. And, at first glance, it looks as if the spread is taking a neutral stance for how the week should begin.
Immediately, we can push back against that argument. Not only is it among my most frequent comments that a spread of roughly three points does not represent what a home team is ‘worth’ in any way, but it actually has more value in the game between the Dallas Cowboys and Detroit Lions because