I like it. We’re steadily moving forward and even more steadily moving back to where we were a few weeks ago.
I still always want to be cautious when we reach this point of the season and value appears to be shifting, but there is some good news ahead of us.
There are definitely some ‘trap’s laid this week. Including in the direction of the favorites.
This is what we always want. Some sort of read from the number. The irony is that there is also a decent amount of nonconference games, which means we don’t usually get as definitive of reads as I’d like.
Thankfully, that’s not the case for Week 7.
Below are predictions for each game against the spread. Spreads have been taken from various websites and are subject to change. The spread in parenthesis denotes the selected team. Spread is listed as advertised number and odds at either DraftKings Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook, Caesars Sportsbook, or Fanatics Sportsbook (formerly PointsBet). All efforts were made to provide picks at -110 or better, with some stretching to a -125 if no reasonable advertised spread was found.
*Confidence Picks – 2026 Season: 24-16 (Last Week: 5-1)
(2024 Season: 65-57) (2023 Season: 63-61-4) (2022 Season: 54-54-5) (2021 Season: 55-50) (2020 Season: 53-42-3) (2019 Season: 57-43-3) (2018 Season: 63-48-4) (2017 Season: 53-48-4) (2016 Season: 53-67-3) (2015 Season: 69-45-2) (2014 Season: 61-46-2) (2025 Season: 63-53-1) (12-Year Total: 709-614-31)
All Picks Against Spread – 2026 Season: 50-42-1 (Last Week: 9-5)
(2024 Season: 148-136-1) (2023 Season: 142-135-8) (2022 Season: 143-132-9) (2021 Season: 158-126-2) (2020 Season: 132-128-7) (2019 Season: 142-118-7) (2018 Season: 137-118-12) (2017 Season: 137-119-11) (2016 Season: 123-136-8) (2015 Season: 143-117-7) (2014 Season: 149-114-4) (2025 Season: 151-133-1) (12-Year Total: 1705-1512-77)
New England Patriots at Chicago Bears
I always think it’s amazing — and telling — that the spread on certain games refuses to tell a story because there just isn’t enough found between the two teams involved to make a true declaration. But then it’s even more amazing how often that happens with interconference games.
That’s exactly the case with the New England Patriots and Chicago Bears. The spread isn’t showing its hand.
That is, if we take it at face value.
But I always write that