We have our first full, 15-game slate in quite some time, and it produces more-than-enough matchups to address for fantasy purposes. This is especially helpful in a week in which many games don’t provide the fantasy potential we would like.

Sporfolio’s NFL Daily Fantasy Sports game-by-game analysis columns are driven by expected game flow. Based on a combination of our Week 14 NFL picks against the spread and our expectations for a given game, we project the actions necessary to make these picks come to fruition. We aim to pinpoint players integral to our predicted game flow for each game of the week. We also include high-scoring and low-scoring matchups that can be used for either DFS plays or over-under picks in our new Top Games to Target column.

Please Note: Our ‘Must-Owns’ are either players around which we are building our entire roster or the top target we want, not considering salary restraints. Which means that some ‘must-owns’ will not make it into our final lineups.

Luke May is our resident NFL DFS expert, and Mario Mergola operates Sporfolio as our expert for NFL Picks Against the Spread.

Houston Texans at Chicago Bears

Luke’s DFS Take

Storyline/Notes/Thoughts: This week’s version of battle of the saddest franchises in the NFL features the Houston Texans and the Chicago Bears. The Bears found yet another way to lose a game in miraculous fashion, although you can easily say that was karma after their undeserved win against the Lions earlier this season. Despite all of the misery of these two teams, it is probably fair to have a decent amount of interest in this game for fantasy purposes. The Texans defense continues to be absolutely horrendous, and considering the Bears offense runs through just two players, they are easy targets this week. Despite the absence of any real talent around him, Deshaun Watson continues to produce as he once again threw for over 300 yards while almost single handedly keeping his team competitive last week. Even against a good Bears defense, it is hard to not keep Watson on our radar. 

Targets: Deshaun Watson, Brandin Cooks, Keke Coutee and Allen Robinson II

Fades: None

Must-Owns: David Montgomery

Mario’s DFS Take

Storyline/Notes/Thoughts: We finally saw some life from the Chicago Bears’ offense, and it’s almost impossible to think that it doesn’t continue on Sunday. The Houston Texans are a sieve against the run, and the Bears do not want to let quarterback Mitch Trubisky throw if they can help it. This slides running back David Montgomery back into the mix. Chicago’s defense is still solid and quarterback Deshaun Watson has little help, but he is also the focal point of the offense, and the Texans rarely put forth a complete dud — at least, not lately.

Targets: David Montgomery, Allen Robinson, Jimmy Graham, Deshaun Watson, and Duke Johnson

Fades: Both defenses, only because either team can score enough to cause a problem

Must-Owns: None

Dallas Cowboys at Cincinnati Bengals

Luke’s DFS Take

Storyline/Notes/Thoughts: Speaking of sad franchises, these two teams have struggled mightily since major injuries sidelined each of their young franchise quarterbacks for the remainder of the season. Both offenses have struggled to find any consistency, and these are two of the very worst defenses in the league especially against the run. Nothing about Brandon Allen and the Bengals has gone right, so even in this great matchup, it is hard to get excited about their outlook here. If Joe Mixon is healthy and active, he becomes appealing, but outside of that, I can’t trust this offense. The Cowboys offense has shown minor moments of good play, and they have the talent to make plays against a poor opponent. They also get an added boost for the Andy Dalton revenge game narrative. 

Targets: Andy Dalton, Ezekiel Elliott, Amari Cooper, CeeDee Lamb and Joe Mixon (if healthy)

Fades: The rest of the Bengals offense

Must-Owns: None

Mario’s DFS Take

Storyline/Notes/Thoughts: In keeping with the “storyline” tag of this particular piece of the writeup, the main storyline for Sunday’s game between the Dallas Cowboys and Cincinnati Bengals is quarterback Andy Dalton. He returns to Cincinnati to take on his former team, and he is in position to thrive. He probably isn’t worth a significant investment as his downfield throwing ability is limited. Still, he has the playmakers to turn in a decent performance. The Bengals’ offense also can’t be overlooked as it matches up with one of the worst defenses in the league. Dallas did show some signs of life defensively, but also fell apart against the Ravens. Indeed, Cincinnati’s offense is not on the same caliber as Baltimore’s, but the Cowboys’ defense has been so terrible that almost anyone can have success against it. Don’t be afraid to steal some potential fantasy points with likely low-owned options from Cincinnati.

Targets: Both defenses, Giovani Bernard, Tee Higgins, Ezekiel Elliott, and CeeDee Lamb

Fades: Mostly everyone else

Must-Owns: None

Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins

Luke’s DFS Take

Storyline/Notes/Thoughts: Do not put any stock into the fact that the Chiefs only scored 22 points last week against the Broncos. They moved the ball up and down the field at will and somehow were kept out of the endzone and forced to settle for five field goals (not to mention Tyreek Hill had two long touchdown catches robbed from him by a missed call and a penalty). The trio of Patrick Mahomes, Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce is a lock any week regardless of who they are playing. The Dolphins are almost the exact opposite situation in my mind. It feels like every week I watch their offense struggle mightily, and then their final stat line and score don’t reflect that. Last week, the impact of their struggles were completely negated by the ineptitude of the Bengals as a whole. They won’t get that benefit this week, and I fully expect the Chiefs to win this game comfortably. 

Targets: Patrick Mahomes, Clyde Edwards-Helaire (if healthy and ready for his usual role), Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce and Chiefs defense

Fades: Dolphins offense

Must-Owns: None

Mario’s DFS Take

Storyline/Notes/Thoughts: The tipping point in the game between the Kansas City Chiefs and Miami Dolphins should be defense. That is, can the Dolphins’ defense — which has been excellent — slow down the Chiefs? And can the Dolphins’ offense — which has struggled — take advantage of Kansas City’s defense. Personally, I’m not expecting either. There might even be some relative bargains with the Chiefs because of the matchup — and its perceived difficulty — and I would be happy to target anyone from Kansas City that I could fit into my lineup.

Targets: Patrick Mahomes, Tyreek Hill, and Mike Gesicki

Fades: Mostly everyone else from Miami’s offense

Must-Owns: Travis Kelce

Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants

Luke’s DFS Take

Storyline/Notes/Thoughts: Joe Judge and his New York Giants deserve a ton of credit for how they have played for most of this season, and how they were able to go into Seattle and pull off a major upset last week. With that said, I don’t love their odds of beating NFC West teams in back-to-back weeks. The Cardinals season is slipping away from them as they have now lost three straight games, and if they have any hopes of staying alive in the playoff race, this is a must win game. I am expecting them to have the ball in Kyler Murray’s hands all game long and let him go make plays. Once the Cardinals have a lead, this Giants offense, even with Daniel Jones expected back, is not built to be playing from behind, so my money is on a Cardinals win by a fairly wide margin this week. 

Targets: Kenyan Drake, DeAndre Hopkins, Cardinals defense and Sterling Shepard

Fades: Wayne Gallamn Jr.

Must-Owns: Kyler Murray

Mario’s DFS Take

Storyline/Notes/Thoughts: I keep writing about the New York Giants’ defense and how well it has played of late, and there is no better example of this than the recent win against the Seahawks. This is highlighted further by the fact that the Giants won by stopping a top-flight offense. The Arizona Cardinals don’t have the same success in scoring that Seattle does, but Arizona thrives in accumulating yards. Let’s start there. As long as the Cardinals keep marching up-and-down the field, we should be fine using most of their offensive players in our lineups. It only takes a slight improvement to turn that gameplan into touchdowns, and the Cardinals have some sneaky upside on Sunday.

Targets: Sterling Shepard, DeAndre Hopkins, Christian Kirk, and Arizona’s defense

Fades: Everyone else from New York’s offense

Must-Owns: Kyler Murray

Minnesota Vikings at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Luke’s DFS Take

Storyline/Notes/Thoughts: The Minnesota Vikings thrive when they can run the ball, and create their passing game off of that. Against this Buccaneers defense that is the best run defense in the league in terms of total yards allowed and yards allowed per attempt, they may run into major trouble this week. This is a very bad matchup for the Vikings, and I think their offense is going to struggle. The Buccaneers offense has been a roller coaster throughout this season, but this feels like a group that should benefit greatly from a bye week. Between that and the positive matchup, I’m expecting one of the best games we’ve seen from this Bucs offense all season. 

Targets: Entire Buccaneers team, but as always, it will be very difficult to pick a specific player out of this offense

Fades: Vikings offense

Must-Owns: None

Mario’s DFS Take

Storyline/Notes/Thoughts: There are the obvious few directions in which this game could go — an easy Tampa Bay Buccaneers win, a perfect performance by the Minnesota Vikings, or a tight battle between the two — but almost all of them rely on offense. Despite how solid the Buccaneers’ defense is, we cannot ignore that Minnesota’s offense ranks fourth-best in the league in yards gained. Especially if Tampa Bay establishes a lead, the Vikings will need to move the football to keep pace and should be able to do so. Minnesota’s defense has been a weakness, all year, and the Buccaneers have had two weeks to put together a gameplan to take advantage of it.

Targets: Everyone, with an emphasis on Minnesota’s passing attack

Fades: Both defenses

Must-Owns: None

Denver Broncos at Carolina Panthers

Luke’s DFS Take

Storyline/Notes/Thoughts:  The Broncos may have played a tight game on the scoreboard against the Chiefs last week, but that was hardly indicative of how the game actually played. Their offense has shown flashes throughout the season, but overall, they have been one of the most disappointing groups in the league based on all of the talent they have. Carolina is coming off of their bye week, and despite the uncertainty surrounding some of their player’s availability, I think they control this game pretty comfortably from start to finish. The Carolina defense is nothing overly dominant, so it is possible for some garbage time success for Denver like we have seen from them in past games. 

Targets: Jerry Jeudy, Tim Patrick, Teddy Bridgewater and Robby Anderson (a near must play if D.J. Moore and Curtis Samuel are inactive)

Fades: None

Must-Owns: Christian McCaffrey (if active) or Mike Davis (if McCaffrey is inactive)

Mario’s DFS Take

Storyline/Notes/Thoughts: The storyline at the forefront of the game between the Carolina Panthers and Denver Broncos is running back Christian McCaffrey. He was supposed to return to action, but the reports are less clear. If he plays, he is an absolute ‘must-start’ for me. I don’t care about the idea of easing him back into action. McCaffrey is the Panthers’ offense, and the volume is never low. Otherwise, we can look at most of Carolina’s offense with some potential even though it will go against a solid Broncos defense. I won’t be scared away, mainly because Denver just played against a divisional opponent, which is the main reason why the game never got out-of-hand — familiarity. The Broncos also let the Chiefs march all over them, only to stop Kansas City and force it to settle for field goals. The Panthers should have no problems accumulating yards, as well.

Targets: Carolina’s offense, Jerry Jeudy, and Tim Patrick

Fades: Denver’s running backs

Must-Owns: Either Christian McCaffrey or Mike Davis (where it’s Davis if McCaffrey is out

Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars

Luke’s DFS Take

Storyline/Notes/Thoughts: The Titans are coming off possibly the most embarrassing game of the entire NFL season. The Titans are trying to establish themselves as legitimate Super Bowl contenders, and they allowed Baker Mayfield to absolutely dominate them. Luckily for them, they have the ultimate get right situation against a Jaguars team that is ripe for a beating. Derrick Henry, and the Titans, have dominated Jacksonville over his career, but the Jaguars played them extremely tough in Week 2. Since then, Jacksonville has not won a game, and they don’t have much to be hopeful about moving forward. The Jaguars are coming off a tight loss, but facing a highly motivated Titans team that let them hang around once already this year, I don’t like their odds at all. 

Targets: A.J. Brown, Corey Davis and James Robinson

Fades: Mike Glennon

Must-Owns: Derrick Henry

Mario’s DFS Take

Storyline/Notes/Thoughts: We’ve seen Tennessee Titans running back Derrick Henry make a mockery of the Jacksonville Jaguars in the past, and it’s hard to imagine that not happening on Sunday. Indeed, the Jaguars could formulate a gameplan to slow him down, but it hasn’t really worked in the past. Most importantly, Tennessee is coming off an embarrassing performance against the Browns and should be out for blood. Even if they can’t win easily, they won’t be held out of the endzone. That does give the Jaguars’ offense some nice intrigue, as we will almost always look at the passing attack of a team that is expected to be trailing. We could even go as far as targeting running back James Robinson, who is active in the passing game.

Targets: Tennessee’s offense and James Robinson

Fades: None

Must-Owns: Derrick Henry

Indianapolis Colts at Las Vegas Raiders

Luke’s DFS Take

Storyline/Notes/Thoughts: While the Raiders are a team that I have been admittedly high on for most of the season, it is hard to look at their past two games and not be concerned. They got completely embarrassed by the Falcons, and then they really lost to the Jets (had the Jets not been actively trying to lose at the end of the game). It is possible we see them bounce back, and I wouldn’t be shocked based on how I’ve felt about them all season, but the Colts are not a great team to suddenly find your footing against. The Colts are solid at every single position on the field on offense and defense, and it seems impossible to have much confidence in the Raiders in this matchup after what we’ve seen from them in the past two weeks. 

Targets: Jonathan Taylor, Nyheim Hines, and Darren Waller

Fades: The rest of the Raiders offense

Must-Owns: None

Mario’s DFS Take

Storyline/Notes/Thoughts: The game between the Indianapolis Colts and Las Vegas Raiders might be one of the most entertaining of the weekend. The good news is that it is also a nice source for fantasy points. The Raiders’ defense has been terrible, and it just allowed 28 points to the Jets — who rank dead last in yards and points. The Colts are frustrating for fantasy owners because of how much they spread the ball around, but that also gives us an opportunity to find some nice value. The Raiders have a tall mountain to climb against the Colts’ defense, but they have also scored at least 31 points in four-of-their-last-five games — and eight times, this season.

Targets: Both quarterbacks, Nyheim Hines, Michael Pittmann, Jr., and Darren Waller

Fades: None

Must-Owns: None

New York Jets at Seattle Seahawks

Luke’s DFS Take

Storyline/Notes/Thoughts: I cannot look at this game and see anything other than a Seahawks blowout. It was nice to see the Jets compete last week the way I had envisioned, but expected that two weeks in a row would be far too much. That feeling gets amplified by the fact that the Seahawks are coming off a wildly disappointing loss to the Giants last week, and I cannot expect both the Giants to beat the Seahawks in Seattle, and then have the Jets even compete against the Seahawks in Seattle the following week. It may be obvious, and based on how the Seahawks have looked lately, it may be flat out wrong in the end, but my money’s on the Seahawks winning big because that simply feels like it is what has to happen. 

Targets: Russell Wilson, Chris Carson, DK Metcalf, and Tyler Lockett

Fades: Jets offense

Must-Owns: None

Mario’s DFS Take

Storyline/Notes/Thoughts: I’m fascinated, but also annoyed, by the amount of people trying to explain what the New York Jets did at the end of their last game. They tried to lose! That’s it. It’s nothing more and nothing less than that. To try to put a different spin on it is to stubbornly ignore what the plan for the team is. It remains, and has been for weeks, to continue to guarantee itself the top pick in the NFL Draft. That has led to me arguing that the team also does not care to compete, but this has a different angle on Sunday. The Jets are almost certainly going to lose to the Seattle Seahawks, but they don’t want to continue to get embarrassed. Last week’s ‘giveaway loss’ was an embarrassment. The players are probably the ones who felt it the most. While the Jets’ defense can’t necessarily stop Seattle’s offense, the Seahawks have hit an offensive skid in recent weeks. They’ll use this game to get back on track, but I’d be careful before loading up on Seattle’s players. Instead, I would limit my exposure there and possibly lean on a pass-catcher from New York.

Targets: Russell Wilson and Seattle’s defense

Fades: Most of New York’s offense, except…

Must-Owns: Jamison Crowder (if healthy)

Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions

Luke’s DFS Take

Storyline/Notes/Thoughts: It is hard to look at this game and think it will be anything other than high scoring. The Lions defense is just about as bad as it gets, and they have been getting consistently beat up by offenses that are significantly inferior to that of the Packers. As we always say, the Packers big 3 of Aaron Rodgers, Aaron Jones and Davante Adams are pretty much always elite options, and that is definitely the case once again this week. The Lions offense has been playing through a slew of injuries, but they continue to find ways to be productive, and Matthew Stafford is coming off his best game of the season against a tough Bears defense. We know the Packers will score, so Stafford is in good position to have another heavy workload and productive afternoon. 

Targets: Aaron Rodgers, Aaron Jones, Allen Lazard, Robert Tonyan, Matthew Stafford, DeAndre Swift (if active), Marvin Jones Jr. and T.J. Hockenson

Fades: None

Must-Owns: Davante Adams

Mario’s DFS Take

Storyline/Notes/Thoughts: There’s always a chance that a game between the Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers turns into an offensive explosion, but the fantasy options from Detroit remain limited. I’m usually not one to place a large emphasis on injuries — and what they do to the healthy players on the team — but the Lions are undoubtedly limited. If Green Bay can establish a lead — which it tends to do against ‘weaker’ opponents — then it will force the Lions to exclusively throw. That might lead to a sneaky gameplan boost for running back D’Andre Swift, who might be returning to action. Otherwise, it’s the usual suspects from the Packers — with maybe one or two from Detroit — and not much else.

Targets: Everyone on offense

Fades: None

Must-Owns: None

New Orleans Saints at Philadelphia Eagles

Luke’s DFS Take

Storyline/Notes/Thoughts: Maybe I’m crazy, but I’m not particularly excited about this game whatsoever. The Saints have been an incredible run, rattling off nine consecutive wins. The last three of those have come with Taysom Hill under center, and while he has been very effective, the context of those games is very important to note. Two of three games came against a Falcons team whose defense is very bad, and the other game was against a Denver team that played the game with a practice squad wide receiver as their quarterback. There has been no real pressure on Hill in those games, but this week, that may not be the case. The Eagles defense is legitimately good, and would look even better if their offense wasn’t constantly putting them in terrible positions. With that said, I think the Eagles expose Taysom Hill a bit this week, and we see a far less productive Saints offense this week. On the other side, it is impossible for me to have extremely high expectations of Jalen Hurts with this Eagles offense as he makes his first NFL start against a Saints defense that has allowed just 44 points over their past five games. 

Targets: Michael Thomas and Saints defense

Fades: All other offensive players in this game

Must-Owns: None

Mario’s DFS Take

Storyline/Notes/Thoughts: I am totally intrigued by the first career start of Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts, but not because of anything Hurts can do. Carson Wentz had regressed to the point that he appeared to lack confidence with his throws. This is contagious to an offense. When Hurts stepped in, confidence returned. This, too, is contagious to an offense. The problem for Philadelphia is that it will be throwing Hurts into a dangerous situation, as he will face one of the best defenses in the league in the New Orleans Saints. The good news is that the Eagles’ defense has played inspired football despite the offensive struggles, and it should slow down New Orleans’ offense. That would push me elsewhere for fantasy targets.

Targets: Both defenses and Alvin Kamara

Fades: Offensive players

Must-Owns: None

Atlanta Falcons at Los Angeles Chargers

Luke’s DFS Take

Storyline/Notes/Thoughts: Anytime a team is coming off a zero point performance, we are likely to be intrigued. That intrigue develops even further when you realize it is a team whose offense has been very good for a majority of the season. That intrigue turns into mandatory ownership when you see that they have a matchup against one of the worst defenses in the league. I know I was painfully wrong on them last week, but I am going to be all over the Chargers this week. I have a fairly consistent policy when it comes to the Falcons, and that is that if I believe the team they are playing is going to score a lot of points, I also believe their offense will be very useful as well. Matt Ryan almost always finds a way to be productive, and when he is forced to play from behind and throw often, he is capable of outstanding stat lines. This game has definite shootout appeal, and almost everyone that touches the field is a viable target.

Targets: Any regular offensive player for either team

Fades: None

Must-Owns: Justin Herbert

Mario’s DFS Take

Storyline/Notes/Thoughts: I always start with a team that is returning to action after a shutout, and the Los Angeles Chargers pop as one of my main targets for Week 14. There is a risk that the Chargers simply take a conservative route after losing so badly — it wasn’t just the shutout, it was the noncompetitive nature of the team — but zero-point performances statistically produce solid offensive days in the next game. I’m buying the Chargers’ offense. I can’t really feel comfortable with anyone from the Atlanta Falcons, but they are a team that holds potential on a given week. Unfortunately, we’ve also seen them go into a shell without notice. The high-scoring nature of Los Angeles in this particular matchup should lead to Atlanta answering — or, at least, putting in the volume to try to answer — and it does force us to consider the Falcons.

Targets: All offensive players

Fades: None

Must-Owns: Justin Herbert

Washington Football Team at San Francisco 49ers

Luke’s DFS Take

Storyline/Notes/Thoughts: You have to give Washington credit for their performance last week as they defeated the then undefeated Pittsburgh Steelers, but do we expect an NFC East team to pull off back-to-back road upsets? Personally, I cannot expect that, and with their season officially dangling in the balance, my faith has to lean towards Kyle Shanahan and the 49ers putting their best foot forward. At the end of the day, my overall expectations for these offenses are not very high given the matchups against two of the better defenses in the league. 

Targets: J.D. MicKissic, Raheem Mostert, Brandon Aiyuk and 49ers defense

Fades: The rest of the Football Team offense

Must-Owns: None

Mario’s DFS Take

Storyline/Notes/Thoughts: As someone who always fights against the reactionary nature of this sport, I am not buying into the Washington Football Team because of their win over the Steelers. I’m buying into them because of how well they have been playing and the defense that has always carried potential for this squad. In fairness, “buying in” does not particularly have fantasy impact on Sunday, but I won’t avoid the team either. There’s a chance we get a nice surprise output from one of the skill position players, and said player will probably be underowned. The same is technically true for the San Francisco 49ers, but their fantasy problems come from the amount of players who see volume.

Targets: Brandon Aiyuk and Terry McLaurin

Fades: Mostly everyone else

Must-Owns: J.D. MicKissic

Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Bills

Luke’s DFS Take

Storyline/Notes/Thoughts: We finally saw Pittsburgh lose last week, but that’s something I’m expecting to see again this week. The Steelers have a history of bouncing back very well after a loss, and with the amount of criticism they are getting this week, I am fully expecting we see one of their best games of the entire season. The Bills continue to play well, but this is not too dissimilar to what we saw last year from them before they ultimately crumbled near the end of the season. Something about this Bills team just doesn’t feel quite like they are ready for the biggest stage, and I think that will become clear this Sunday night against a highly motivated Steelers team. 

Targets: The entire Steelers offense, Steelers defense, Stefon Diggs and Cole Beasley

Fades: Josh Allen (compared to his normal expectations at least)

Must-Owns: None, but James Conner is very tempting here

Mario’s DFS Take

Storyline/Notes/Thoughts: We are going to see a fast emptying of the Pittsburgh Steelers’ bandwagon after a loss to Washington, and we should probably see those same people find a new team. The most likely destination? The Buffalo Bills. Buffalo opened many eyes with its convincing win on Monday Night Football, last week, and we now see a perfect setup for overreaction to both teams’ most recent games. This pushes me to want to own as many players from Pittsburgh in both a Showdown and Primetime lineup, where, of course, we can’t ignore Bills quarterback Josh Allen’s regular production when targeting only this game.

Targets: Everyone from Pittsburgh, with an emphasis on the wide receivers, and Stefon Diggs

Fades: Josh Allen (unless it’s a Showdown lineup)

Must-Owns: At least one pass-catcher from the Steelers

Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns

Luke’s DFS Take

Storyline/Notes/Thoughts: It may not feel right, but this Week 14 AFC North battle is going to feature a Ravens team that is chasing the Cleveland Browns in the playoff picture. Both teams have had their ups and downs throughout the season, but in a game of this magnitude, I’m expecting both teams to try to ride their bread and butter game plan. Coincidentally, both teams would love to play the exact same game which is a game in which their defense controls their opponent, and their offense establishes a run game that cannot be contained. Despite what we saw from Baker Mayfield last week, the heart and soul of the Browns offense is the run game, and I think if they are going to have any chance this week, they have to lean on that. 

Targets: Lamar Jackson, J.K. Dobbins, Mark Andrews, Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt

Fades: Baker Mayfield

Must-Owns: None

Mario’s DFS Take

Storyline/Notes/Thoughts: I mentioned the shifting of bandwagon attention in the Sunday Night Football game, but don’t we have the same situation for Monday night? Granted, both the Cleveland Browns and Baltimore Ravens are sure to get attention after their recent wins, but this probably means that the support will be somewhat split. For that reason, I’d be willing to go heavy with one team in an attempt to differentiate. Taking that one step further, both squads are built to run the ball, so another ‘contrarian’ approach is to lean on the passing game from either side.

Targets: Nick Chubb, Kareem Hunt, Lamar Jackson, J.K. Dobbins, Mark Andrews, and Baltimore’s defense

Fades: Baker Mayfield and Cleveland’s wide receivers

Must-Owns: None