Welcome to the Monday morning edition of the Daily Fantasy Hockey Morning Coffee. I hope you’re recovering from the Super Bowl and are ready to jump back into some NHL action. We start the week with a four-game slate to work with with for our DFS needs.
Anahiem Ducks @ Toronto Maple Leafs (Toronto, -160, 5.5 over/under)
Nashville Predators @ New York Islanders (Nashville, -125, 6 over/under)
New York Rangers @ Dallas Stars (Dallas, 185, 6 over/under)
Tampa Bay Lightning @ Edmonton Oilers (Tampa Bay, -140, 5.5 over/under)
Tonight I want to start much of my roster construction around the Dallas Stars. Tonight the Stars are home against a Rangers team that allowed a league third-worst 3.67 goals against per game in January and were tied for fourth-worst with nine power play goals allowed last month. Over their past 10 games the Rangers have a CF% of 44.24 percent — third-worst in the NHL. The Rangers have a middle of the pack SCA/60 of 29.09 but a league eighth-worst HDCA/60 of 11.94. New York’s team save percentage over their past 10 games of 89.18 percent is dead last in the league.
Last month Dallas scored a league ninth-best 3.00 goals per game and have won two straight games while scoring a total of 10 goals in those two games. Dallas also seemed to get their power play touch back with three power play goals scored over that two game period. Over their past 10 games Dallas has SCF/60 of 28.74 and a HDCF/60 of 11 — both middle of the pack numbers. Though Dallas has those relatively average scoring chance stats they have been able to put away the chances they do get and a have a league fifth-best shooting percentage of 8.98 percent over their past 10 games.
Per LeftWingLock on the season the BENN/TYLER SEGUIN/ALEXANDER RADULOV has been the eighth-most productive line in the NHL with 22 goals and and 395 shot attempts for. Over their past 10 games this line has been the third-most productive line in the NHL with nine goals and 114 shot attempts. This line makes a great a stack to start your cash game roster construction.
Our Dallas Snapshot
Our Dallas Stacks
JAMIE BENN $7.7K
TYLER SEGUIN $8.0K
ALEXANDER RADULOV $6.8K
ANTOINE ROUSSEL $3.6K
RADEK FAKSA $4.4K
TYLER PITLIC $3.3K
MATTIAS JANMARK $5.0K
JASON SPEZZA $5.0K
DEVIN SHORE $4.0K
Power Play Stack
(D) JOHN KLINGBERG $6.7K
Power Play Two Stack
REMI ELIE $3.4K
(D) JULIUS HONKA $3.5K
(D) STEPHEN JOHNS $4.0K
The Tampa Bay Lightning have won five of their past six games and tonight travel to Edmonton to face an Oilers team that allowed a league ninth-worst 3.10 goals against per game in January. Additionally, Edmonton had a penalty kill percentage of just 73.5 percent last month. And Edmonton being the home team doesn’t really phase me tonight as home ice has not been kind to Edmonton this season where they have allowed a league worst 3.54 goals against per game. Edmonton has allowed five power play goals over their past four games and have not registered a power play goal of their own in eight straight games.
At home this season Edmonton has a SCA/60 of 29.46 — seventh-worst in the NHL. And their HDCA/60 of 11.77 on home ice is the ninth-worst in the league. On the road this season Tampa Bay has a SCF/60 of 28.86 — eighth-best in the NHL and their HDCF/60 of 10.96 is also good ninth-best in the league.
Goaltending has certainly been an issue for Edmonton this season. Cam Talbot has a goals against average of 3.14 and a save percentage of just .901 percent. Only 17 of Talbot’s 32 starts this season have been quality starts and he has had eight “Really Bad Starts” (defined as a start with a save percentage of 85 percent or under).
Our Tampa Bay Snapshot
Our Tampa Bay Stacks
CHRIS KUNITZ $3.4K
STEVEN STAMKOS $8.4K
NIKITA KUCHEROV $8.5K
VLADISLAV NAMESTNIKOV $5.8K
BRAYDEN POINT $6.2K
TYLER JOHNSON $5.8K
Power Play Stack
RYAN CALLAHAN $3.2K
(D) VICTOR HEDMAN $6.5K
Power Play Two Stack
ALEX KILLORN $4.0K
YANNI GOURDE $4.9K
(D) MIKHAIL SERGACHEV $4.2K
-The Nashville Predators have had very strong back-to-back performances but will be without Filip Forsberg as he was suspended for three games for a hit on Jimmy Vesey. You can take a look at the reasoning from the NHL department of player safety:
Nashville’s Filip Forsberg suspended three games for interference on NY Rangers’ Jimmy Vesey. https://t.co/7gTton1szC
— NHL Player Safety (@NHLPlayerSafety) February 4, 2018
While Forsberg will be missed — he has put up nice numbers over his past two games (one goal, three assists) — I still want shares of Nashville as the Islanders have been the worst team in the NHL in terms of average goals per game allowed on the road at 3.68. Nashville’s implied goal total is actually higher than Tampa Bay’s tonight. VIKTOR ARVIDSSON is a great place to start when looking to the Nashville side. Arvidsson has five goals and three assists over his past seven games. And I really like a mini power play stack of RYAN JOHANSEN/VIKTOR ARVIDSSON/P.K. SUBBAN against the Islanders tonight.
-The Anaheim Ducks have allowed five power play goals over their past two games. While it’s a very small sample size to indicate any kind of trend it does raise an eyebrow when thinking about Toronto’s power play tonight. AUSTON MATTHEWS/CONNOR BROWN/WILLIAM NYLANDER/PATRICK MARLEAU/JAKE GARDINER make up Toronto’s first power play unit and make a fine tournament stack (you can only use on four on FanDuel).
-Stats in this article are courtesy of Corsica, ESPN, NaturalStatTrick and Hockey-Reference and are up to date as of Feb 4.
-As always, please double check all line combos, injuries, and starting goalies prior to puck drop.