As we approach the final quarter of the 2016 NFL season, we can better assess the true direction of most teams. More importantly, we now have a solid grasp on the style of offense that each squad would like to utilize and can make reasonable projections for whether-or-not it fits into a specific matchup.
Week 13 is a fantastic mix of low-scoring, defensive battles and high-flying shootouts. Each game appears to fit neatly into one of the two bundles, with the outliers also leaning in the direction of potentially one-sided contests. With that, we can use the established style-of-play more effectively than we have in previous weeks.
Sporfolio’s NFL Daily Fantasy Sports game-by-game analysis columns are driven by expected game flow. Based on a combination of our Week 13 NFL picks against the spread and our expectations for a given game, we project the actions necessary to make these picks come to fruition. We aim to pinpoint players integral to our predicted game flow for each game of the week.
Luke May is our resident NFL DFS expert, and Mario Mergola operates Sporfolio as our expert for NFL Picks Against the Spread.
Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons
Luke’s DFS Take: The first matchup of our column features one of the best offenses in the league in Atlanta going against one of the best defenses in the league from Kansas City. The Chiefs’ defense thrives off turnovers and putting up points on its own, but they are not necessarily unbeatable, by any means. In fact, the Chiefs rank 27th in fantasy points allowed-per-game to quarterbacks and 32nd – dead last – in the league against wide receivers. This happens to play right into the strengths of Atlanta, who have a pretty good duo of quarterback and wide receiver. Look for Matt Ryan and Julio Jones to connect throughout the game and enjoy a nice fantasy outing. As always, Atlanta putting up points might force Kansas City to take to the air, so don’t be surprised to see Tyreek Hill make some big plays against a beatable Falcons defense.